Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$245K from 13 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.6M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$362K
Whales tracked
16
Whale trades
30
Whale buy pressure
74%
Probability — No 100%now
100%96%93%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 95% Sep 9
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET...