Iran leadership change by August 31?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$275K from 11 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$315K
Whales tracked
12
Whale trades
27
Whale buy pressure
88%
Probability — No 100%now
100%97%95%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 97% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of w...