Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
27%
3W · 8L settled
Profit & loss
−$4K
-19% ROI
Betting now
12
open positions
Total traded
$19K
2 large trades
Recent results newest first
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
Betting on now 12
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$14K
+$361
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
$1K
+$99
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
$1K
+$100
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
$1K
+$43
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$820
+$214
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
$610
+$18
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
$335
−$182
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
$146
−$6
If you’d copied ExcaIibur
Betting a flat $100 on their last 11 settled bets:
−$465 (-42% on $1,100 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
+$13K
LOST
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
−$5K
WON
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
+$3K
WON
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$1K
LOST
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
−$32
LOST
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
−$30
LOST
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
−$30
LOST
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
−$20
LOST
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
−$20
LOST
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
−$15
LOST
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
−$5