Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 15, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$328K from 20 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.5M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$500K
Whales tracked
25
Whale trades
39
Whale buy pressure
69%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%97%95%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 97% Aug 18
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other co...