Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 30, 2026
Yes87%
No14%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing Yes$223K from 13 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.9M
Liquidity
$90K
Whale volume
$262K
Whales tracked
17
Whale trades
26
Whale buy pressure
87%
Probability — Yes 88%now
94%82%70%
Aug 12 High 91% · Low 74% Sep 12
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other co...