Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 16, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$1.5M from 33 tracked whales.

Total volume
$7.2M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$2.3M
Whales tracked
38
Whale trades
90
Whale buy pressure
64%
Probability — No 100%now
Not enough price history to chart yet.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been publi...