Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Oct 31, 2026
No92%
Yes9%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$49K from 5 tracked whales.

Total volume
$608K
Liquidity
$112K
Whale volume
$49K
Whales tracked
5
Whale trades
5
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 92%now
98%85%73%
Aug 11 High 95% · Low 77% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been publ...
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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