US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 18, 2026
Yes86%
No15%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing Yes$6K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$75K
Liquidity
$29K
Whale volume
$6K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 86%now
94%67%40%
Sep 2 High 86% · Low 49% Sep 12
Recent whale trades 1
scout avatar scout BUY Yes $6K 12h ago
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed...
Whales entering
scout avatar scoutYes$6K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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