US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Politics · prediction market · Open · resolves Sep 4, 2026
Yes74%
No27%
100 · Strong buy signal

Whale money here is backing No$21K from 4 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$43K
Whale volume
$31K
Whales tracked
6
Whale trades
6
Whale buy pressure
84%
Probability — Yes 74%now
84%49%14%
Sep 2 High 74% · Low 25% Sep 11
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed...
Whales exiting
scottilicious avatar scottiliciousNo$5K
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