U
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jul 31, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$640K from 29 tracked whales.

Total volume
$8.9M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$1.3M
Whales tracked
58
Whale trades
125
Whale buy pressure
76%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%96%92%
Aug 11 High 100% · Low 94% Aug 12
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is compl...