Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Business · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$8K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$298K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$8K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
100%92%84%
Aug 13 High 100% · Low 87% Sep 1
Recent whale trades 1
elmcap2 avatar elmcap2 BUY No $8K 1w ago
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized...
Whales entering
elmcap2 avatar elmcap2No$8K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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