Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
92%
34W · 3L settled
Profit & loss
+$6K
6% ROI
Betting now
242
open positions
Total traded
$11K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 242
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
$10K
+$2K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$7K
+$2K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$6K
+$805
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$6K
−$3K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$4K
+$1K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
$4K
+$383
No one announced as next James Bond?
$4K
−$972
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
$4K
−$356
If you’d copied BikesAreTheBikes
Betting a flat $100 on their last 37 settled bets:
+$2,822 (+76% on $3,700 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$71
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Trump out as President by August 31?
+$3K
WON
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
+$2K
WON
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
+$2K
WON
Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
+$2K
WON
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
+$2K
WON
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$1K
WON
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
+$1K
WON
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$946
WON
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
+$940
WON
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
+$929
WON
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
+$878
WON
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$831
WON
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
+$707
WON
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$695