Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jun 30, 2027
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$6K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$127K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$11K
Whales tracked
2
Whale trades
2
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
100%60%21%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 36% Aug 14
About this market
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes eac...
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