Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jun 30, 2027
Yes100%
No0%

Whale money here is backing Yes$8K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$55K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$8K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — Yes 100%now
100%50%0%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 7% Aug 14
Recent whale trades 1
lomneivan avatar lomneivan BUY Yes $8K 4w ago
About this market
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes eac...
Whales entering
lomneivan avatar lomneivanYes$8K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
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