Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jul 31, 2026
Yes100%
No0%

Resolved: Yes won. The whale majority backed Yes — smart money was right here.

Whale money here is backing Yes$85K from 6 tracked whales.

Total volume
$1.9M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$119K
Whales tracked
11
Whale trades
13
Whale buy pressure
72%
Probability — Yes
Not enough price history to chart yet.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran, or on ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The announcement need not specify the full scope, duration, or enforcement parameters of the blockade. An announcement of a partial or targeted blockade qualifies, including one limited to s...