Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
90%
26W · 3L settled
Profit & loss
−$10K
-3% ROI
Betting now
30
open positions
Total traded
$1.1M
41 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$83K
+$7K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$56K
+$2K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
$46K
+$557
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$40K
−$448
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$35K
−$200
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
$12K
+$84
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$11K
+$249
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
$10K
+$1K
If you’d copied tourists
Betting a flat $100 on their last 29 settled bets:
+$2,300 (+79% on $2,900 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
+$301K
WON
Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?
+$40K
WON
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$28K
WON
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
+$28K
WON
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
+$24K
LOST
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
−$21K
WON
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$18K
WON
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
+$16K
WON
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
+$12K
WON
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
+$11K
WON
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
+$10K
WON
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
+$7K
WON
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
+$6K
WON
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
+$6K