Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$2.1M from 71 tracked whales.

Total volume
$18.1M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$4M
Whales tracked
111
Whale trades
252
Whale buy pressure
57%
Probability — No 100%now
100%97%94%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 96% Sep 9
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been publi...