Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
17%
26W · 129L settled
Profit & loss
−$102K
-49% ROI
Betting now
107
open positions
Total traded
$23K
3 large trades
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 107
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$18K
+$10K
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
$9K
+$699
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$6K
−$5K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$5K
+$263
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
$4K
+$2K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
$4K
−$2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
$4K
+$2K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
$3K
+$3K
If you’d copied 881112
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$1,823 (-36% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
−$23K
LOST
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
−$12K
LOST
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
−$7K
LOST
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
−$5K
LOST
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
−$4K
LOST
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
−$3K
LOST
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
−$3K
LOST
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
−$3K
LOST
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
−$3K
LOST
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
−$3K
LOST
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
−$3K
WON
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
+$2K
LOST
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
−$2K
LOST
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
−$2K