Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
24%
16W · 52L settled
Profit & loss
−$33K
-76% ROI
Betting now
41
open positions
Total traded
$6K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 41
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
$4K
−$1K
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
$2K
−$1K
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
$1K
+$1K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
$1K
−$1K
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
$1K
−$770
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
$1K
−$975
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
$720
+$508
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
$634
−$291
If you’d copied 8dcc906a9b
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$2,200 (-44% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
−$8K
LOST
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
−$3K
WON
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?
+$3K
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
−$2K
LOST
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
−$2K
LOST
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
−$2K
LOST
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
−$1K
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?
−$1K
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
−$1K
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?
−$1K
WON
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
+$956
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
−$853
LOST
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
−$849
WON
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
+$617