Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Other · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Sep 1, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$697K from 30 tracked whales.

Total volume
$5.9M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$998K
Whales tracked
38
Whale trades
81
Whale buy pressure
70%
Probability — No 100%now
100%98%96%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 98% Sep 1
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An annou...