US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Other · prediction market · Open · resolves Jan 1, 2027
No90%
Yes11%

Whale money here is backing No$465K from 10 tracked whales.

Total volume
$2.7M
Liquidity
$235K
Whale volume
$548K
Whales tracked
14
Whale trades
26
Whale buy pressure
89%
Probability — No 90%now
96%84%72%
Aug 12 High 93% · Low 76% Sep 12
About this market
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran has been mutually signed or adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the...