U
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Politics · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Jul 24, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$392K from 24 tracked whales.

Total volume
$4.3M
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$543K
Whales tracked
32
Whale trades
55
Whale buy pressure
76%
Probability — No
Not enough price history to chart yet.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is compl...