WON Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? +$82K WON US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? +$72K WON Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? +$11K LOST US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? −$8K WON Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? +$7K WON Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? +$4K LOST Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? −$2K WON US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? +$2K LOST Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? −$1K WON Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026? +$1K WON Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? +$862 LOST U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? −$521 WON Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? +$80 LOST Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? −$22