Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
Business · prediction market · Resolved · resolves Aug 22, 2026
No100%
Yes0%

Whale money here is backing No$15K from 1 tracked whale.

Total volume
$190K
Liquidity
$0
Whale volume
$15K
Whales tracked
1
Whale trades
1
Whale buy pressure
100%
Probability — No 100%now
100%97%95%
Aug 12 High 100% · Low 97% Aug 22
Recent whale trades 1
Waterfall avatar Waterfall BUY No $15K 2w ago
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized...
Whales entering
Waterfall avatar WaterfallNo$15K
Whales exiting
No whales selling — all conviction.
Follow the whales on this market
Get pinged the moment a big trade hits.
Set an alert