Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
10%
26W · 222L settled
Profit & loss
−$144K
-97% ROI
Betting now
25
open positions
Total traded
$24K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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L
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Betting on now 25
Iran leadership change by December 31?
$8K
−$5K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$4K
−$2K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
$2K
−$1K
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
$720
−$460
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
$387
−$209
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
$167
+$81
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?
$150
−$149
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
$129
−$99
If you’d copied ProfitMuhammedPBUH
Betting a flat $100 on their last 50 settled bets:
−$2,000 (-40% on $5,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
LOST
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
−$33K
LOST
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
−$25K
LOST
Iran leadership change by June 30?
−$11K
LOST
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
−$6K
LOST
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
−$5K
LOST
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
−$3K
LOST
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?
−$3K
LOST
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
−$3K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
−$2K
LOST
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
−$2K
LOST
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
−$2K
LOST
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
−$2K
LOST
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
−$2K
LOST
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
−$1K