LOST Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? −$5K WON Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? +$4K WON Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026? +$2K WON Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026? +$2K WON Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? +$1K WON Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? +$1K WON Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? +$774 WON Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? +$506 WON Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30? +$150 WON Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? +$116 WON Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? +$108 LOST Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%? −$106 LOST Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? −$96 WON Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? +$48