WON Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? +$8K WON Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? +$6K WON Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? +$5K LOST Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? −$3K LOST Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? −$2K WON Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? +$2K LOST US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? −$1K LOST Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? −$1K WON Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? +$1K LOST UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov −$1K LOST Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? −$872 WON Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? +$800 WON Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox +$800 WON Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels +$800