Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
68%
32W · 15L settled
Profit & loss
−$2K
-16% ROI
Betting now
11
open positions
Total traded
$5K
1 large trade
Recent results newest first
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Betting on now 11
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
$5K
+$430
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
$920
+$183
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
$835
+$45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
$641
−$51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
$375
+$35
Iran leadership change by December 31?
$320
−$30
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
$305
+$3
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
$80
−$50
If you’d copied Partial-Adrenalin
Betting a flat $100 on their last 47 settled bets:
+$1,700 (+36% on $4,700 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
+$15K
WON
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
+$10K
WON
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
+$4K
WON
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$3K
WON
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
+$2K
WON
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
+$2K
WON
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
+$2K
WON
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
+$1K
WON
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?
+$1K
WON
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?
+$1K
WON
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
+$1K
WON
Another US military action against Iran before August?
+$1K
WON
Epstein client list released by June 30?
+$1K
WON
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
+$1K