Smart moneyTrader profile
Win rate
50%
5W · 5L settled
Profit & loss
+$2K
6% ROI
Betting now
23
open positions
Total traded
$20K
3 large trades
Recent results newest first
L
L
L
W
W
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L
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L
Betting on now 23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$11K
+$7K
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$9K
+$4K
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
$6K
+$193
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$4K
+$2K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
$3K
+$345
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$2K
+$673
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
$782
+$365
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
$714
−$520
If you’d copied On.The.Spectrum
Betting a flat $100 on their last 10 settled bets:
−$66 (-7% on $1,000 staked)
Best bet +$100Worst bet −$100
Based on the settled positions we track, using each bet’s real cash P&L. Ignores fees and slippage. Past results don’t predict future ones — this is information, not advice.
Biggest settled results
WON
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$6K
WON
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$4K
WON
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
+$1K
WON
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
+$1K
LOST
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
−$864
LOST
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
−$752
LOST
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
−$87
LOST
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
−$62
WON
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
+$3
LOST
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
−$2